Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-18 4.493968 4.985579 5.511100 6.115148 6.790891 7.524239 8.381318
2026-01-25 3.640564 4.305989 5.067356 6.005015 7.131604 8.445185 10.098115
2026-02-01 3.047407 3.799654 4.710137 5.897939 7.413510 9.291702 11.809816
2026-02-08 2.612921 3.406160 4.413061 5.792842 7.646753 10.068786 13.501007
2026-02-15 2.304334 3.122115 4.204071 5.751967 7.928742 10.909008 15.346853
2026-02-22 2.116745 2.969308 4.140235 5.882227 8.436032 12.086240 17.776582
2026-03-01 1.915263 2.770273 3.984031 5.853655 8.698442 12.924897 19.792433
2026-03-08 1.707665 2.538093 3.752141 5.681270 8.716308 13.385562 21.263502
2026-03-15 1.562253 2.381828 3.613524 5.628880 8.901383 14.105751 23.207952
2026-03-22 1.479725 2.312207 3.597186 5.760509 9.383418 15.335598 26.121374
2026-03-29 1.407051 2.250135 3.584677 5.892871 9.873466 16.619508 29.266554
2026-04-05 1.319747 2.155902 3.510539 5.912642 10.169468 17.595282 31.966765
2026-04-12 1.222530 2.038998 3.392090 5.850892 10.326564 18.360532 34.408138
2026-04-19 1.129764 1.921923 3.263455 5.759050 10.420199 19.020936 36.734625
2026-04-26 1.045782 1.812934 3.139260 5.662610 10.493767 19.648501 39.070907
2026-05-03 0.970048 1.712169 3.020810 5.564678 10.552444 20.249557 41.422395
2026-05-10 0.910370 1.635369 2.938807 5.526743 10.721438 21.080506 44.353702
2026-05-17 0.878305 1.606515 2.942025 5.652096 11.225584 22.636562 49.046877
2026-05-24 0.829048 1.541405 2.871611 5.624983 11.414259 23.556089 52.436410
2026-05-31 0.767237 1.447603 2.738868 5.459929 11.297092 23.810188 54.324291
2026-06-07 0.724138 1.386840 2.665533 5.409779 11.418608 24.592102 57.551122
2026-06-14 0.703731 1.369262 2.676135 5.535932 11.936306 26.309487 63.274916
2026-06-21 0.684499 1.352508 2.686853 5.662767 12.467332 28.113349 69.461429